Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.238976 7.971483 8.766206 9.695865 10.757817 11.938073 13.356015
2026-01-11 6.089716 7.031111 8.118276 9.477989 11.149100 13.156993 15.784527
2026-01-18 5.586328 6.668394 7.974879 9.690867 11.919250 14.763720 18.750707
2026-01-25 5.061050 6.192684 7.605381 9.531633 12.143012 15.641638 20.830657
2026-02-01 4.661569 5.823062 7.314373 9.414001 12.369055 16.501973 22.955148
2026-02-08 4.321343 5.493777 7.035780 9.267925 12.514794 17.234095 24.958067
2026-02-15 4.018758 5.186945 6.755676 9.082411 12.567347 17.811532 26.774261
2026-02-22 3.800593 4.976378 6.587026 9.032704 12.802077 18.672997 29.155913
2026-03-01 3.532203 4.676955 6.269655 8.733303 12.617981 18.839215 30.354875
2026-03-08 3.257398 4.351838 5.893659 8.314619 12.203715 18.576642 30.733954
2026-03-15 3.084996 4.163231 5.703793 8.164391 12.202524 18.998207 32.429819
2026-03-22 3.141590 4.308510 6.014040 8.814668 13.575159 21.950487 39.535132
2026-03-29 3.057365 4.244785 6.010674 8.973270 14.149709 23.585305 44.397876
2026-04-05 2.893625 4.052731 5.798053 8.771768 14.072915 23.991758 46.696762
2026-04-12 2.832827 4.013551 5.820873 8.964365 14.721611 25.884934 52.790772
2026-04-19 2.704273 3.862382 5.655629 8.820425 14.729526 26.486553 55.920928
2026-04-26 2.593358 3.733204 5.518209 8.714050 14.796576 27.216280 59.540482
2026-05-03 2.485387 3.603469 5.372530 8.581897 14.799475 27.806297 62.931061
2026-05-10 2.377990 3.469809 5.213294 8.413976 14.715030 28.191469 65.851490
2026-05-17 2.300690 3.381235 5.124770 8.368966 14.874109 29.147756 70.672283
2026-05-24 2.187229 3.229155 4.921523 8.097701 14.542028 28.918607 71.862284
2026-05-31 2.060906 3.051643 4.667780 7.717908 13.954368 28.019630 70.776204
2026-06-07 1.984010 2.953044 4.545750 7.581501 13.874013 28.344387 73.745280